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Slow and steady dwelling price growth has made Brisbane immune to southern housing slowdown

THE proverbial tortoise of capital city home prices, Brisbane, has become “slowdown-proof”, new analysis predicts, thanks to its “slow and steady” capital gains.

With southern capitals now in the midst of a growth slowdown and investor pullback, latest data from industry analysis firm CoreLogic RP Data has put Brisbane in the safe zone.


Brisbane Property marketThe median dwelling price in Brisbane (which includes the Gold Coast) was $461,000, with the median house at $505,000 and median unit at $380,800, the CoreLogic RP Data Home Value Index found.

CoreLogic RP Data head of research Tim Lawless said Brisbane was looking good for continued growth.

“Brisbane is gathering momentum both in transaction numbers and level of buyer interest,” he said. “Brisbane is well set to continue its steady pace of growth. In the past 12 months it’s up by nearly 5 per cent.”

Signs were aplenty that southern markets had started to “lose some steam”, he said, with clearance rates trending lower and Sydney having its highest stock levels since mid-2012.

“Higher levels of housing stock means more choice for buyers which should ultimately result in some rebalancing towards buyers over sellers when it comes to negotiating on price.”

No such rebalancing was expected in Brisbane, where the prediction was a continued upward trajectory for several years, according to Mr Lawless.

“We expect there won’t be a downturn in the Brisbane market. It’s steady as she goes, particularly considering in the past 12 months we have seen a pick-up in jobs activity and rentals are also much higher,” Mr Lawless said.

Mr Lawless said while investors were beating in retreat in Sydney and Melbourne because of higher costs of property and debt, Brisbane could expect to see much more interest.

“There’s going to be a trend that investors will be targeting cities that are showing a much earlier stage in the property cycle and also a more balanced market like Brisbane and South East Queensland. I wouldn’t be surprised if we do see some additional investment in Brisbane and SEQ despite the fact that for investors the cost of debt has got higher.”

The Brisbane-Gold Coast rental yield result for both houses (4.4 per cent) and units (5.4 per cent), topped that of Sydney (3.1 per cent and 4.1 per cent) and Melbourne (2.9 per cent and 4.1 per cent).

In Brisbane itself dwelling values fell -0.2 per cent in September, though it was up over the quarter (1.2 per cent) and year-on-year (3.8 per cent).

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Competition Heating Up for Rental Properties

Rental Properties

The residential rental market just got tighter with the number of new listings reaching its lowest point since before the pandemic.

The availability of rental properties dropped -3.9 per cent in August, according to the Proptrack rental listing report from REA Group.

Rental volumes dropped the fastest in Melbourne at -16.9 per cent and Canberra at -29.9 per cent as lockdowns hampered the market.

Meanwhile in Sydney, “green shoots” were starting to appear with a 6.7 per cent increase in new rental properties as one-on-one inspections were introduced and activity picked up.

Change in rental listings

Location Monthly new listings Annual Change Total listings Annual change
Sydney 6.7% -23.4% -0.7% -24.8%
Melbourne -16.9% 36.4% -6.7% 14.4%
Brisbane -3.7% -6.4% -0.9% -18.3%
Adelaide 5.4% -3.7% 3.0% -11.2%
Hobart -9.8% 8.7% -3.2% 3.4%
Darwin -1.1% 5.7% 7.9% -20.4%
Canberra -29.9% -21.3% -18.3% -16.7%
Capitals -4.7% -5.0% -3.3% -11.0%
Regional -1.3% -3.5% -2.0% -15.8%
Total -3.9% -4.6% -3.1% -11.9%

Source: REA Group from August 2021 data

REA Group director of economic research Cameron Kusher said in the report that the fall brought national rental listings to their lowest point since December 2019.

“The rental market has become even more competitive with the availability of rentals close to an all-time low,” Kusher said.

“The crunch in rental supply is being felt regionally, too. Total rental listings were at an historic low at the end of August in regional NSW, regional WA and regional Tasmania.

“Regional Victoria and regional Tasmania were the only regions in which total listings recorded a year-on-year increase.”

Nationally the vacancy rate remained at a multi-year low of 1.6 per cent in August, according to Domain.

This report showed in Brisbane, Hobart, Adelaide and Darwin landlords could use the tight levels to increase rent on new listings.

However in Melbourne, vacancy rates were continuing to rise, hitting 3.8 per cent.

Sydney remained relatively steady, with levels at 2.6 per cent since June.

While the rental market remains competitive, soaring property prices have pushed rental yields to all time lows.


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Gold Coast

Display Tour: Peninsula Collection by ASF Group on Hope Island, Queensland

Whether you’re a fan of golf, enjoy boating, or dream of spending weekends relaxing by a pool, then you’ll love the property we have to show you today.


Developer: ASF Group

Architect: Archidiom

Address: 52 Harbourview Drive, Hope Island QLD 4212

Number of residences: 63

Peninsula Collection

Peninsula Collection is the final release within the Hope Island Resort, following the sell-out-success of Peninsula Terraces.

Securing a home within this prestigious gated community isn’t an opportunity that comes around often, which is why we are excited to share this property with you.

While the display suite may be small, the resort is anything but – with 5-star amenities already built and ready for you to enjoy.

Swap your rush-hour commute to a cruise on your very own golf buggy, as you navigate from the pool to the tennis courts, or around the three championship golf courses, the island has to offer.

Another aspect we love about Peninsula Collection is the convenience of its location.

You’re just a stone’s throw to Hope Island Shopping Centre as well as the marina – which offers boaters and yachters bridge-free and open-ocean access.

Plus, you’ve also got the added comfort of an in-built security button and 24-hour medically-trained security on site.

You’d think homes like these must come at a premium; however since they are community strata-titled apartments, you get to enjoy a spacious, brand new home in a great location with world-class amenities for a fraction of the price.

Not to mention, all Peninsula Collection residences are FIRB exempt – allowing you to tap into the global market for potential capital gains.

A three-bedroom home with two bathrooms and a parking space starts at just $565,000, one of the lowest price points on the Gold Coast market.


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Top Locations for First Home Buyers Named

Home Buyers

First home buyers looking for a first rung on the property ladder are honing in on locations near public transport with affordability in mind.

In most parts of the country the most popular location was clear, however in NSW and Victoria buyers were scrambling to get in wherever they could, according to broker platform Hashching.

Their analysis found buyers were looking for the “sweet spot” of good commuting options to capital cities, affordable housing, and nearby recreational areas, which was reflected in the high number of transactions from independent mortgage brokers.

Top locations for first home buyers

State Postcode Percentage of FHB
Qld Toowoomba 20%
NSW Pemulwuy 2%
Vic Deven Meadows, Roxburgh Park 2% each
ACT Dunlop 11%
SA Port Lincoln 8%
WA Bunbury 6%
Tasmania Lenah Valley 12%

^Source: Hashching

Hasching chief executive Arun Maharaj said that in NSW and Victoria the market had failed to create appealing centres of entry-level property, pushing the cohort to other states.

“This results in buyers choosing to save more and compete with buyers higher up the ladder rather than relocate, or to choose to purchase their first home elsewhere,” Maharaj said.

“From the data, it looks like Hobart is the prime beneficiary of this trend, which saw high first home buyer activity in centralised locations, with Adelaide’s southern postcodes also seeing significant activity, which suggests first home buyers are finding refuge there from other states.”

The Australian Bureau of Statistics shows a third of people looking at the residential property market were first home buyers.

Since the end of HomeBuilder the number of new loan commitments for this group dropped -6.8 per cent in July following a -7.8 per cent drop the previous month.

The drop in new loan commitments was felt across the broader owner-occupier market, which fell -6.1 per cent for newly erected homes and -4.7 to build new homes.


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