Demand has started to increase in the property market on the back of the recent federal election results and interest rate cuts, with Brisbane and Mackay in Queensland leading the road to recovery.
REA’s Property Outlook for July has revealed the “ScoMo bounce” and two interest rate cuts were breathing new life into Australian property, with demand starting to increase and slowly flowing through to many indicators.
Search activity has seen a bump, particularly in Melbourne and Sydney’s hard hit markets, clearance rates in premium suburbs are getting back to high levels, and many mining towns are returning to growth after five years of negative conditions, according to the report.
realestate.com.au’s Chief Economist Nerida Conisbee said rental growth in these areas started some time ago, but a recovery is now following suit.
“Queensland is leading the way in the recovery,” Ms Conisbee said in the report. “Brisbane has been the first capital city off the block in terms of price growth, and Mackay is right now the top regional growth area in Australia.”
She added that jobs growth is also driving rental demand, which continues to be highest in Hobart, Gold Coast and Melbourne, and while the extreme price growth in Hobart now seems to be over, Launceston is taking over. Regional Victoria was also doing well, with many suburbs in Ballarat, Bendigo and Geelong experiencing never before seen property demand.
But according to the report, any real uplift in the number of people listing properties for sale is yet to be seen and pricing data is yet to reflect a change in conditions, and Ms Conisbee warned that while much of this sounds promising, there are some dark clouds looming on the horizon.
“Although buyers love an interest rate cut (we see an increase in search activity onrealestate.com.au almost as soon as it is announced), the Australian economy isn’t looking particularly healthy,” she said in the report.
“While many economic indicators have been poor for some time now, the bright spark has always been low unemployment. With this creeping up and the Reserve Bank pushing through two interest rate cuts very quickly, the positive effect of cheaper finance may not be enough to offset the fact that people are beginning to lose their job. Could it be that the worst for property is still be to come?”
Ms Conisbee said if the interest rate cuts were enough to stimulate the economy and property prices continued to see a rebound, we were still looking at a very different property market to what it was like during the boom, with investor lending down 45 per cent from peak and unlikely to make a full recovery any time soon.
“Buyers from Asia, a key market for new development, have dropped dramatically,” she reported. “Over the past 12 months alone, property seekers from China have dropped by over 60 per cent to the lowest level we have ever recorded, and confidence in the new apartment sector is low following some high-profile structural issues.”
Sentinel Sells Brisbane Industrial Site for $17m
Sentinel Property Group has offloaded another Brisbane site, this time an industrial facility 11 kilometres east of the Brisbane CBD in Hemmant for $17 million.
Centuria Capital snapped up the partially tenanted property in Brisbane’s east through Blue Commercial managing director Gary O’Shea.
The site, which comprises 47,951sq m of general industrial zoned land and features an 11,785 warehouse and 1,240sq m of office space, is located within the Trade Coast Precinct at 46-68 Gosport Street.
Sentinel’s Industrial Trust purchased the property for $16 million in 2012.
Sentinel’s divestment follows on from its recent sale of the Citilink Business Centre at Bowen Hills for $76 million to Prime Super.
The group also purchased the Makerston House office building in Brisbane CBD’s legal precinct for $103 million from investment management company Challenger.
Along with the Brisbane transactions Sentinel managing director Warren Ebert said the group, established by Ebert in 2010, has been active in regional Queensland.
“Particularly in Mackay where our portfolio is approaching $100 million,” Ebert said.
“Mackay has been an important regional market in the national growth and success of Sentinel over the past decade and the company has tremendous confidence in the region’s economic future, particularly with the opening up of the Galilee Basin with Adani’s Carmichael coal and rail project finally approved.”
Melbourne Top Investment Choice for Chinese Buyers
Chinese buyer enquiries for residential property in Australia has recorded two consecutive quarters of year-on-year growth for the first time since 2016, with Melbourne still the most popularAustralian city.
Australia has been losing Chinese buyer interest to other parts of the world due to increased taxes and banking restrictions.
But Australia’s hefty state foreign buyer taxes have been counterbalanced by its weakening dollar according to the latest Juwai.com report, which has seen it drop around 11 per cent of its value against the Chinese Yuan since mid-2018.
Juwai.com CEO Carrie Law says she expects Chinese buying to remain flat in 2019, with forecasts it could start to grow again inline Australia’s property market recovery.
“Chinese buyers make 83 per cent more enquiries about acquiring Melbourne property than they do Sydney,” Law said.
Brisbane has the second fastest rate of Chinese buyer growth. Law said Brisbane recorded 30.8 per cent more Chinese buyer enquiries in 2018.
“Brisbane is becoming a real alternative for the two traditional gateway cities of Melbourne and Sydney.
“The fastest growing cities, in terms of Chinese buyer interest, are Hobart, Brisbane, and Canberra.”
Melbourne receives 43.8 per cent of Chinese buying enquiries in Australia, Sydney 23.9 per cent, Brisbane 10.1 per cent, Perth and Adelaide 6.1 per cent, the Gold Coast 3.7 per cent, Canberra 3.6 per cent, and Hobart 2.6 per cent.
Weak Aussie dollar boosts buyer interest
Despite the tougher state foreign buyer taxes, Australian’s weakening dollar means it now costs less to secure real estate.
“A buyer holding Yuan today needs the equivalent of $88,800 less in funds compared to 2017 to purchase an $800,000 dwelling,” Law said.
“The plummeting Australian dollar, which has lost 11.1 per cent of its value against the Chinese Yuan since July 2018… [That] compares to the 8 per cent rate of the highest foreign buyer taxes, which are in New South Wales and Victoria.”
Law says Chinese demand is driven largely by growing wealth, a desire to store assets ‘safely’ overseas, education, travel, commercial ties, immigration and high-net-worth immigration, along with environment and lifestyle.
“Eighty-three per cent of Chinese consumers cite education as their reason for immigration, 69 per cent cite environment, 57 per cent cite food safety, and 28 per cent cite asset security.”
Australia’s Most Expensive Capital City to Rent a House Might Surprise You
When it comes to the nation’s most expensive capital city to rent a house, Sydney takes second place in what may come as a surprise to some, with Canberra crowned as Australia’s most expensive capital.
While Domain’s rental report shows Canberra remains as the nation’s most expensive capital to rent a house, it also shows it’s more expensive to rent a house in Hobart than Melbourne.
The latest report, which covers the median rental price for houses and units across the country, shows Melbourne house rents remained unchanged over the year at $430 per week, while unit rents increased 2.4 per cent over the year.
Taking in the unit market, despite Sydney’s price falls of almost 5 per cent over the year the harbour city is still the most expensive capital city to rent a unit.
Strong construction of new housing has weighed on rents in Sydney, and also contributed to the vacancy rate increasing to 3.2 per cent in June, up from 2.4 per cent one year ago, Domain’s Economist Trent Wiltshere says.
House rents fell by 3.6 per cent over the year to $530 per week.
While unit rents dropped by 0.9 per cent in the quarter and 4.5 per cent over the year.
“Rents held up the best on the Central Coast and on Sydney’s north shore, but fell in other Sydney regions,” the Domain report notes.
While largely thanks to the significant property price falls over the past few years, Sydney’s rental yields have risen slightly.
Melbourne’s strong population growth since 2013, averaging an annual 2.6 per cent, has seen ongoing rental demand.
House rents grew fastest in the Mornington Peninsula and in Melbourne’s inner-south, but were unchanged in Melbourne’s eastern suburb, for the past year.
Melbourne’s unit rents have increased by 2.4 per cent over the year.
While rent on a typical unit has increased 14 per cent over the past five years to $420, despite the city’s apartment construction boom during this time.
Melbourne’s house rents have also increased 13 per cent during this period.
Domain says unit rentals have held steady in recent years, despite the large supply of new Brisbane apartments.
“House rents were steady in most parts of Brisbane over the past 12-months, but unit rents increased 6 per cent in the inner city.”
Unit rents also increased by 2 per cent on the Gold Coast and the Sunshine Coast.
And while rental prices for houses across Greater Brisbanerecorded falls in the June quarter, rental prices have remained unchanged year-on-year.
Brisbane’s rental vacancy rate fell from 2.6 per cent to 2.2 per cent over the past year, a sign of a strengthening rental market, Wiltshere says.
House rents in Adelaide dropped 1 per cent in the June quarter, but have recorded an increase of 2.7 per cent over the year.
Adelaide’s unit rentals have increased by 1.7 per cent over the year, with the typical unit renting for around $305 a week, this makes Adelaide the cheapest across all capitals.
Hobart remains the fourth most expensive city to rent a house behind Canberra and Sydney, according to Domain’s report.
Canberra house rents dropped 3.5 per cent in the June quarter, but are unchanged over the year at $550 per week. Unit rents increased by 4.4 per cent over the year, sitting at $470.
Canberra unit rents have increased a staggering 18 per cent over the past three years, despite an apartment construction boom.
And Darwin rents for houses have now dropped from the 2014 highs of $700 a week to $490. Darwin units have dropped over the past five years from $570 to $385, reflecting declining demand as the city’s population decreases.
Perth remains the most affordable capital city to rent a house in Australia at $365 a week. Rental prices for both Perth houses (up 4.3 per cent) and units (up 3.3 per cent) have increased over the past year.
Property Management4 years ago
7 Common GST Mistakes On Property
Residential3 years ago
Ipswich Proves Frontier In Affordable Housing
Infrastructure2 years ago
Decision on horizon for key marina section of huge North Harbour development at Burpengary
Developments1 year ago
Brisbane and interstate investors drawn to up-and-coming King Street precinct
Infrastructure3 years ago
Ikea looking for 250 staff to fill roles at new North Lakes store
Market Place1 year ago
How to make $1 million ‘flipping’ houses
Market Place2 years ago
Seaside suburbs the star performers of southeast Queensland property market
Opinion3 years ago
Are we headed for a housing crash — or not?