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CoreLogic: Home values continue to rise but the pace of growth loses steam in April

Home values

Australian housing values lifted by 1.8% in April according to CoreLogic’s national home value index, with the monthly pace of capital gains easing from a 32-year high in March (2.8%).  Although growth conditions have slowed, housing values are still rising at a rapid pace, up 6.8% over the past three months to be 10.2% higher than the COVID low in September last year.

CoreLogic’s research director, Tim Lawless, says the pace of capital gains could slow further over the coming months as inventory levels rise and affordability constraints dampen housing demand.

“The slowdown in housing value appreciation is unsurprising given the rapid rate of growth seen over the past six months, especially in the context of subdued wages growth.  With housing prices rising faster than incomes, it’s likely price sensitive sectors of the market, such as first home buyers and lower income households, are finding it harder to save for a deposit and transactional costs.”

Home values

Home values

 

There is already some evidence of fewer first time buyers in the market, with the Australian Bureau of Statistics reporting a -4.0% fall in the value of first home buyer home loans through February, the first drop since May last year.

Despite the slowdown, positive housing market conditions remain geographically broad-based with every capital city and ‘rest-of-state’ region continuing to record a lift in dwelling values over the month.   Darwin (2.7%) and Sydney (2.4%) recorded the largest month-on-month rise in dwelling values, while Perth values recorded the lowest rate of growth amongst the capital cities at 0.8%.

The four smallest capital cities recorded double digit annual growth (Adelaide 10.3%, Hobart 13.8%, Darwin 15.3% and Canberra 14.2%), reflecting a smaller COVID-related disruption and an earlier start to the growth phase last year.  Melbourne is recording the lowest level of annual growth (2.2%) due to a larger downturn, attributable to the extended lockdown period last year.

The broad trend of houses outperforming the unit sector continued through April as higher density styles of housing experienced less demand amidst elevated supply across some inner city precincts.  At the combined capital city level house values (8.6%) have risen at double the pace of unit values (4.3%) over the first four months of the year.

“A preference shift away from higher density housing during a global pandemic is understandable, however a rise in flexible working arrangements also seems to be supporting greater demand for houses around the outer-fringes of capital cities.  Relatively weak investor activity, compounded by a supply overhang in some high-rise precincts, is also dampening price growth in unit markets,” Mr Lawless said.

Home values

 

 

Article Source: www.corelogic.com.au

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Opinion

Safe as Brisbane houses

Brisbane

If I had to pick the safest major capital city market to purchase an investment property, I would choose to buy a detached house in Brisbane.

My reasoning is straightforward.

First, Brisbane’s relative cost against Sydney and Melbourne is running near the lowest level in almost 50 years.

 

Article Source: www.macrobusiness.com.au

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Opinion

Are first home buyers really priced out of the property market?

OPINION

Some people will kill for a bit of free publicity. The first thing to be murdered is the truth, in the quest for cheap limelight.

In real estate, a perennial favourite among those who seek media profile is the affordability crisis. This is a ripper yarn because it tugs at the tear ducts of all Australians whose hearts bleed for desperate young couples who can’t afford to buy a home.

It’s rubbish, of course, but the truth is always optional in these kinds of storylines.

First, here’s the reality. The past year has been the best time ever to be a first-home buyer in Australia. The level of government assistance has never been higher and the cost of finance has never been lower. And investors have been fence-sitting so first-timers haven’t had a lot of competition.

And young home-buyers have responded in record numbers.

home buyers

Auburn Square 35 Northumberland Road, Auburn NSW 3044 

Yet, despite all of that, there are organisations who have managed to construct a scenario where no one can afford to buy or that prospective first-timers have to save for 10 or 12 years to cobble together a deposit for a meagre dwelling.

Here are some recent headlines from mainstream media:-

– “Policy failures see houses become unattainable for young Australians”

– “Australian housing affordability worsens amid fears proposed safe lending laws repeal will lead to debt disaster”

– “Tensions in housing market as affordability worsens”

– “First home buyers take 10 years to save for a deposit”

– “From down payment to dealbreaker: Average house deposit now exceeds 100k”

Those last two screamers are the biggest lies.

How do they concoct such scenarios, at a time when FHBs are out there buying in such large numbers?

home buyers

Kew Schofields Stage 2- Georgette 23-27 Schofields Road, Schofields NSW 2762 

Very easily, so as long as you’re not bothered by a conscience. You simply create a formula in which every component is a work a fiction.

Here’s the proposition they put forward:-

– How long does it take the average young couple on typical incomes to save a 20% deposit to buy the median-priced house in Sydney?

It’s difficult to imagine a scenario more distant from the reality of most FHBs across the nation.

Here’s why …

– They stipulate a 20% deposit. Nobody saves a 20% deposit. You don’t need to. You can currently get into a first home with a 5% deposit without having to pay mortgage insurance.

– First-home buyers don’t buy median-priced properties, not in Sydney or anywhere else. They buy in the lower price ranges.

– Why houses? Many young Australians prefer apartments and not just because they’re much cheaper. Why do these fictitious scenarios never insert apartments into the equation?

– Why this focus on our most expensive? Why not Brisbane or Perth or Adelaide?

home buyers

Quay Waterfront Newstead 57 Skyring Terrace, Newstead QLD 4006

So here’s a realistic equation to give a true appraisal of the prospects for young buyers: how long does it take to save a 5% deposit to buy a house in the lower price quartiles in Brisbane?

Or how long does it take to save the required deposit to buy an apartment in Adelaide or Perth or Hobart?

Or, given the predominate trend in Australian real estate, how long to save a 5% deposit to buy a house in Orange or Wollongong or the Sunshine Coast or Bendigo or Geelong?

Those are scenarios that equate to the reality faced by most prospective first-home buyers.

But you will never see that equation presented in mainstream media, because it doesn’t serve the desired outcome: a screaming negative headline, with the truth optional.

 

Article Source: www.urban.com.au

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Opinion

First-home buyers are big budget winners

home buyers

Help for first-home buyers and single parents to own a home and continuation of an income tax break for low and middle income workers are among key measures that will put more cash in the pockets of Australians following the 2021-22 federal budget.

There is an the increase in the First Home Buyer Super Saver Scheme to a maximum of $50,000, up from $30,000, that can be withdrawn from superannuation to put towards a house deposit. The increase comes into effect on July 1, 2022.

There are annual contribution caps to how much can be made in voluntary contributions that have to be saved in super first, under the scheme, before the money can be withdrawn.

Pension loan scheme

There are changes to the Pension Loan Scheme which allows almost anyone who owns a property and has reached pension age to take out a “reverse mortgage” from the government, where the balance of the loan is repaid when the property is sold.

The scheme pays an income up to an amount that is equal to the maximum age pension.

Under changes that come into effect from July 1, 2022, up to 50 per cent of the maximum annual age pension can be accessed as a lump sum each year. The total amount accessible under the scheme has not changed.

“[The change] is important as it could allow older Australians to access the capital in their home to pay for large, one-off items, such as medical services or home repairs, which they may not otherwise be able to afford,” says Colonial First State general manager Kelly Power.

Downsizer contribution

To help free-up homes for younger families, from July 1, 2022, those aged at least 60 will be able to make a one-off contribution of up to $300,000 per person, or $600,000 per couple, to their super when they sell a home that they have owned for at least 10 years. The qualifying age is currently 65.

Jason Murray, chief of member experience at QSuper, says the downsizer contribution allows retirees to move to more suitable housing as their family size drops and to turn the capital tied up in their home into retirement income.

Family Home Guarantee

The newly introduced Family Home Guarantee (FHG) allows single parents with a maximum annual income of $125,000 to purchase a new or existing home with a minimum deposit of 2 per cent. It is available for property purchases of up to $700,000 in Sydney and $600,000 in Melbourne.

The scheme is limited to 10,000 places over four years; though, if the uptake is strong, the government could well add more places. The scheme starts on July 1.

Eliza Owen, head of research Australia at CoreLogic, says single parent households are largely headed by women, making up about 64 per cent of lone parent and lone-adult households.

“As a result, this policy may contribute toward narrowing the gender wealth gap,” she says.

Andrew Wilson, consultant economist at Archistar, estimates a single parent earning $125,000 using the FHG would be able to borrow about $500,000 at current interest rates to purchase a home.

However, that will still leave them with few options to purchase appropriate family friendly homes in Sydney and Melbourne, where prices are booming, Dr Wilson says.

New Home Guarantee

The government has also extended and renamed a scheme where first-home buyers with a maximum income for couples of $200,000 can purchase a home with a deposit of just 5 per cent.

The price ceilings for the New Home Guarantee are $950,000 in Sydney and $850,000 in Melbourne, with 10,000 places becoming available from July 1 to those seeking to build a new home or purchase a newly built home.

Dr Wilson says the measures to assist first-home buyers are a bit “ho-hum”, given recent rocketing property prices. “They are narrowly targeted and are unlikely to significantly stem an ongoing decline in activity from first-home buyers”, Dr Wilson says.

“Increasing activity from investors and rising property prices are likely to see first-home buyer activity fall by 20 per cent next year, and that is assuming full uptake of the schemes announced in the budget”, he says.

Tax relief

Tax relief will be extended for another year from July 1, in the form of retention of the Low and Middle Income Tax Offset. It is worth a maximum of $1080 for individuals and $2160 for couples, with the main benefits going to those earning between $48,000 and $90,000 a year.

The budget confirmed the current $10,560 cap on the childcare subsidy will be removed.

Families with two or more children aged 5 and under will receive an increase of up to 30 percentage points in the subsidy for their second and later children up to a maximum of 95 per cent of fees paid.

 

Article Source: www.brisbanetimes.com.au

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