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Confidence in Queensland’s property sector falls for first time in nearly 2 years

Confidence in Queensland’s property sector falls for first time in nearly 2 years

CONFIDENCE in Queensland’s property sector has fallen for the first time in nearly two years on the back of the latest tax grab proposed by the state government, a new survey reveals.

CONFIDENCE in Queensland’s property market has fallen for the first time in nearly two years on the back of the latest tax grab proposed by the state government.

The ANZ/Property Council Survey released today, taken in the weeks either side of the November state election, has recorded a drop of two index points for Queensland in the March 2018 quarter — the first decline in 20 months.

The state now has the lowest confidence levels of all Australian jurisdictions.

The re-elected Palaszczuk Government has announced plans to increase land tax rates by 2.5 per cent on properties worth more than $10 million and more than double the tax rate for foreign investors from 3 to 7 per cent.

Property Council Queensland executive director Chris Mountford said the results confirmed industry concern about the proposed property tax hikes, which he argued would hurt jobs growth and home values.

“At a time when we need to do more to catch up with other markets, increasing taxes on property is a big economic risk,” Mr Mountford said.

“The impact of these proposed tax increases can already be seen in the figures.

“Forward work schedules, staffing level expectations, and Queensland’s economic growth predictions are all down.”

The ANZ/Property Council Survey Queensland results for the March quarter of 2018.Source: The Courier-Mail

The ANZ/Property Council Survey Queensland results for the March quarter of 2018.Source: The Courier-Mail

The Property Council is urging the Government to reverse the proposed tax increases, saying ordinary Queenslanders would pay the price because businesses would be forced to pass on the cost to consumers.

“The proposed land tax hike is ultimately going to flow through to affect capital values, and impose higher rents and costs on businesses,” he said.

“I think there’s a general lack of understanding that foreign buyers are a key ingredient to getting new housing construction starts going.

“If we’re making it harder for those people to invest in Queensland, ultimately that’s going to flow through to lower levels of activity.”

The latest ANZ/Property Council Survey shows a drop in confidence in the Queensland property industry. Photo: Glenn Hunt/Getty Images. Source: Getty Images

The latest ANZ/Property Council Survey shows a drop in confidence in the Queensland property industry. Photo: Glenn Hunt/Getty Images. Source: Getty Images

For the last two years, Queensland has consistently lagged behind the major states when it comes to confidence, only remaining in front of Western Australia, where the end of the resources boom created significant economic challenges.

But the latest survey shows a surge in confidence in WA.

“Clearly confidence is starting to return to the WA market,” Mr Mountford said.

“They’ve turned a corner and yet we haven’t had that sentiment shift.

“If anything, we’re still bumbling along behind the other states.”

New homes under construction in Mango Hill, north of Brisbane. The latest ANZ/Property Council Survey shows a drop in confidence in the Queensland property industry. Image: AAP/Dan Peled. Source: AAP

New homes under construction in Mango Hill, north of Brisbane. The latest ANZ/Property Council Survey shows a drop in confidence in the Queensland property industry. Image: AAP/Dan Peled. Source: AAP

But ANZ senior economist Daniel Gradwell said that he was not too concerned about the confidence drop in Queensland during the quarter,

“Overall sentiment is still sitting at pretty solid levels, even though it has dropped off recently,” Mr Gradwell said.

“I think it’s fair to say Queensland has essentially moved past its mining-related downturn.

“We’re starting to see economic activity improve, particularly across the labour market with unemployment at its lowest level in about four years.

“So confidence is already translating into actual economic activity.”

The latest ANZ/Property Council Survey shows a drop in confidence in the Queensland property industry. Photo: Glenn Hunt/Getty Images.Source: Getty Images

The latest ANZ/Property Council Survey shows a drop in confidence in the Queensland property industry. Photo: Glenn Hunt/Getty Images.Source: Getty Images

St George Economics noted in its latest economic outlook for Queensland that the state’s economic growth had picked up over the past year, with business investment gaining momentum, commercial construction strengthening and robust employment growth.

Nationally, the survey reveals New South Wales has lost its throne to Victoria as the property industry with the strongest outlook.

It gathered responses from 1374 professionals within the residential and commercial property sector.

“It’s a large sample size, so we’re confident it’s reflective of what’s actually happening on the ground,” Mr Gradwell said.

Originally published: www.news.com.au

Opinion

Buyer ‘FOMO’ Fuels House Price Surge

House Price

A lack of supply is driving the biggest lift in Australian house prices in 17.5 years as auction clearance rates reach new highs.

National housing supply remained at historically low levels, 26.2 per cent below the same time last year, while low mortgage rates, government incentives, access to capital and improving conditions attracted buyers.

This drove house prices up 2.1 per cent nationally according to the Corelogic home value index for February.

The broad-based housing market boom was the largest month-on-month change since 2003 with values increasing across each capital city and state region.

The limited number of dwellings also pushed auction clearance rates to 90 per cent in Sydney for the first time, 82 per cent in Melbourne and 73.4 per cent in Brisbane on the weekend, as seen in Auction Insider data.

February house price growth: Corelogic

LocationMonthQuarterAnnualMedian Value
Sydney2.5%3.6%2.8%$895,933
Melbourne2.1%3.5%-1.3%$717,767
Brisbane1.5%3.5%5.0%$535,618
Adelaide0.8%2.7%7.3%$478,587
Perth1.5%4.2%4.6%$491,795
Hobart2.5%4.8%8.7%$535,994
Darwin0.7%5.5%13.8%$438,645
Canberra1.9%3.7%9.7%$706,454
Capitals combined2.0%3.6%2.6%$675,014
Regional combined2.1%5.4%9.4%$438,185
National2.1%4.0%4.0%$598,884

^Source: Corelogic Hedonic Home Value Index, at 28 February 2021

Corelogic research director Tim Lawless said the mismatch between supply and demand is a central factor pushing prices higher.

“Housing inventory is around record lows for this time of the year and buyer demand is well above average. These conditions favour sellers,” Lawless said.

“Buyers are likely confronting a sense of FOMO [fear of missing out] which limits their ability to negotiate.

“Vendor discounting rates were estimated at a record low of 2.6 per cent in February, and auction clearance rates have consistently been in the high 70 per cent to low 80 per cent, which is well above average.”

There could be a substantial lift in listings in March with agent activity up 19.5 per cent on 2020 levels according to Corelogic.

Archistar chief economist Andrew Wilson said in Sydney the tight home auction market is likely to continue.

“Sydney’s Central Coast, North West, Northern Beaches and Upper North Shore were the top weekend auction regions, all recording clearance rates above 90 per cent,” Wilson said.

“The lowest clearance rate reported was the West with a nonetheless booming 82.1 per cent result.”

“The clearance rate for units was slightly below that reported for houses at 88.9 per cent.”

“The prospect of sharply higher prices may be encouraging vendors to hold back with signs of lower new listing growth continuing to emerge.”

 

Article Source: theurbandeveloper.com

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Brisbane

Brisbane Officially Top Choice for 2032 Olympic Games

Olympic Games

Queensland officials are finalising plans for the $4.5 billion Brisbane 2032 Olympic Games as the hunt for stadiums, venues and infrastructure funding continues.

The International Olympic Committee selected Queensland’s capital as the targeted host for the games bringing “stability” as the committee moves towards a cost neutral event.

The site of the opening ceremony is yet to be finalised with the top picks Metricon Stadium on the Gold Coast, Suncorp Stadium in Brisbane or a completely new venue on the cards.

During bidding, a masterplan was developed with two athlete villages, an 80,000 seat stadium and a second M1 Motorway with final locations to be determined.

The majority of the sports will be held in existing venues with the exception of rowing which requires a new base.

Instead, funding for Brisbane 2032 Olympics will be focused on bringing infrastructure projects forward, which will have a knock-on effect for the property market.

Premier Annastacia Palaszczuk said they already have 85 per cent of the venues for the event.

“It’s a new norm, which means it is a game changer, we don’t have to build huge stadiums that are not going to be used in the future,” Palaczszuk said.

“There is an option of one new big venue in terms of the opening ceremony but we may use Carrara as well, we’ve got to go down to the fine print and make sure we’ve got all the funding lined up.

“We want to include the regions as well, so of course with the football we’ve been looking at the soccer matches up around the different regions and of course all of the state will share in an Olympic glory.”

Lord mayor Adrian Schrinner said this is the best opportunity the state has had in generations.

“Now we need to actually go through and make sure we lock in the plans for improved infrastructure,” Schrinner said.

Queensland is already on the cusp of an economic boom with domestic migration reaching double digits and house prices hitting a record high in January.

Olympic Games

▲ The blueprint for Brisbane 2032 Olympic Games under new rules that would allow a region, rather than a city to host the event. Images: Urbis

Developers back Brisbane 2032 Olympics

Brisbane’s bid for the games dates back to 2015 and some of the state’s biggest property developers have pledged their support.

Consolidated Properties Group chief executive Don O’Rorke said the latest announcement will further build confidence in the property market for both Australians and people overseas.

“There’s going to be an intangible excitement that builds over the next decade,” O’Rorke said.

“Covid has shown Australia is a great place relative to the rest of the world.

“When it comes to the more tangible aspects, there will be construction jobs created doing the build [of Olympics-related assets] and that will be over five to six years.

“The spotlight will be put on Queensland, and you only have to look at Sydney to know what that does.

“We need to ensure the responsible deployment of capital so that stadiums [and other assets] can be used afterwards…and southeast Queensland will become known worldwide as a destination.”

Property Council of Australia executive director Chris Mountford said done right, the Olympics will turbocharge investment in the region.

“Along with facilitating investment in catalytic infrastructure, hosting the Olympics will showcase our region to the world, and inspire confidence in the private sector to invest alongside government,” Mountford said.

“Queensland is already well-placed to capitalize on its success in its handling of the pandemic, and the Olympic spotlight will only accelerate the growth trajectory of the region.”

Brisbane Airport Corporation chief executive Gert-Jan de Graff, Aria Property Group founder Tim Forrester, Hutchinson Builders chairman Scott Hutchinson as well as sporting figures Darren Lockyer, Ian Healy and Duncan Armstrong are behind the push for a Brisbane Olympic games.

Olympic funding strategy shifts

Australian Olympic Committee president John Coates said the IOC do not want countries to go out and spend big money so the three levels of government need to focus elsewhere.

“They’ve got to get in one [mindset] in terms of the funding not for the games but the funding, that this region requires to host the games…the future infrastructure, transport, in particular rail and road,” Coates said.

“The IOC is on a budget of circa $4.5 billion, the IOC puts in $2.5 billion give or take the exchange rate…then you get $1 billion from national sponsorship and $1 billion from ticketing.

“They don’t want to have big costly losses for many cities, you know go back to Melbourne and Sydney, we spent $30 million on those.”

IOC president Thomas Bach said the decision to pick Brisbane aligns with their new agenda for 2020 onwards, as a result of the pandemic.

“It proposes sustainable games in line with the region’s long-term strategy and using primarily existing and temporary venues,” Bach said.

“The commitment of Australia and Oceania to Olympic sports has grown remarkably since the fantastic Olympic Games Sydney 2000.”

Although the city is the only candidate now being considered for the 2032 games there are still a few minor hurdles to jump through before it is set in stone

 

Article Source: theurbandeveloper.com

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Brisbane

Brisbane Housing Market Insights: February 2021

Brisbane Housing Market

Brisbane housing market insights for February reveals increased demand for houses has been underpinned by increasing consumer sentiment and a surge in interstate migration.

This resource, to be updated monthly, will collate and examine the economic levers pushing and pulling Brisbane’s housing market.

Combining market research, rolling indices and expert market opinion, this evolving hub will act as a pulse check for those wanting to take a closer look at the movements across the market.

So, what were the highlights across Brisbane’s property market throughout January 2021?

Brisbane median house and unit price values

TypeMonthQuarterAnnualMedian
All0.9%▼2.5%▲4.0%▲$527,826▶
Houses1.0%▼2.9%▲4.9%▲$583,902▲
Units0.4%▶1.0%▼-0.4%▲$393,177▲

^Source: Corelogic Hedonic Home Value Index – January

Brisbane housing market affordability

CityHousehold income to meet mortgage repayments September 2019Household income to meet mortgage repayments September 2020
Brisbane21.0%18.7%

^Source: Moody’s Investor Services – October

Brisbane prestige property ranking

CityGlobal ranking3-month change12-month change
Brisbane23rd-1.4%▼1.1%▲

^Source: Knight Frank Prestige Property Index – November

 

Article Source: theurbandeveloper.com

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