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Brisbane set to be Australia’s property market leader: Hotspotting’s Terry Ryder

property market

EXPERT OBSERVER

The Brisbane market has shrugged off the impacts of the pandemic and is in its strongest position in five years to generate price growth. Increasingly, this is translating into evidence of uplift in property values.

Our analysis of sales activity across the Brisbane metropolitan area has identified 56 suburbs with rising momentum, the highest number since late in 2015 and double the number identified in our quarterly survey six months ago.

The numbers show an all-round improvement in the Brisbane market, with a sharp reduction in the number of declining suburbs and a reduction also in the number of danger markets.

Brisbane’s affordability relative to the biggest cities is helping to boost its market, with more people relocating to South-East Queensland from Sydney and other parts of Australia. Brisbane is a natural beneficiary of the Exodus to Affordable Lifestyle trend and is also benefiting from strong consumer confidence as a result of the success in controlling Covid-19.

It’s notable that Brisbane is prominent in the forecasts for prices in 2021 from the major banks. The NAB Residential Property Survey is tipping Brisbane to be the joint leader on dwelling price growth next year, alongside Adelaide and Hobart – with a 7.4% annual rise and similar growth in 2022.

I think this is a tad conservative – and so does ANZ, which is forecasting Brisbane to rise almost 10% next year, with only Perth tipped to do better. Westpac and Commonwealth Bank have also tipped good growth in 2021.

In the six years we have been conducting our quarterly surveys of sales activity and prices, it has been common for northern Brisbane to dominate the positive results – and that is certainly the case in this Summer 2020 survey. Of the 56 suburbs with rising sales activity, 12 are in the Brisbane-north precinct of the Brisbane City Council area and 13 are in the neighbouring Moreton Bay Region.

Both precincts also have a high number of suburbs with consistent sales activity across multiple successive quarters, a notable achievement given the negative pressures in this year of the pandemic.

The rising suburbs in the north of Greater Brisbane include Murrumba Downs (where quarterly sales activity has been 39 44 73), Ashgrove (quarterly sales 54 57 60 72 76 50 78) and Bellara (quarterly sales 23 30 26 40)

While the most prolific markets are in the north, there also has been a notable revival in Logan City in the south. The municipality is the urban bridge between Brisbane City and the Gold Coast and traditionally attracts buyers seeking cheap real estate and good infrastructure.

Logan City markets have been in the doldrums in recent years: six months ago we identified 12 suburbs with a pattern of declining sales, but only five in this latest survey – and there are now nine suburbs with rising sales momentum. At a time when first-home buyers are very active and others are seeking an affordable lifestyle, it’s perhaps not surprising that Logan City would show signs of uplift.

Nearby Ipswich City – another centre of affordable buying in the south-west of the metro area – has only two growth suburbs, so Logan City is the standout of southern Brisbane.

There are growth markets in other parts of the Greater Brisbane area as well – Brisbane-inner (4), Brisbane-east (5), Brisbane-south (3) Brisbane-west (3) and Redland City (5) all have some suburbs with rising sales activity.

There are still six suburbs we classify as danger markets, but that is half as many as two years ago. These are all inner-city suburbs where the market is dominated by high-rise apartments and where vacancy rates continue to be high, in contrast to the rest of the Greater Brisbane Area, and sales rates remain low.

Our analysis of price trends across the Brisbane metropolitan area shows that most suburbs have recorded house price growth in the last 12 months, but an even higher percentage have had growth in the most recent quarter.

This again shows that the city has done well through the pandemic period.

Our analysis shows that 62% of suburbs have recorded annual growth in their median house prices, but 73% have had uplift in the latest quarter.

It’s clear that the top end of the Brisbane market is doing best in this climate, driven partly by the reality that highly-ranked, well-located suburbs in this city often have median house prices in the $800,000s and $900,000s. For people leaving Sydney and Melbourne to relocate to South-East Queensland as part of the Exodus to Affordable Lifestyle, this looks attractive.

Suburbs to record annual median house price growth above 20% include Highgate Hill (28%), Fig Tree Pocket (25%), Nundah (20%) and Windsor (21%).

The inner-city house markets (in contrast to the apartment markets) are doing well, with good annual price growth in Bardon (10%) and Coorparoo (15%), as well as Highgate Hill.

Inner northern suburbs are also performing, including Grange (17%), Windsor and Nundah.

The upper end western suburbs are a standout. In addition to Fig Tree Pocket, there has been strong annual growth in median house prices in Sherwood (12%), St Lucia (14%) and Toowong (13%).

In the south, Yeronga (15%) and Greenslopes (10%) have done well, while in the affordable far north, there has been notable uplift in Woody Point (15%) and Beachmere (10%).

 

The post “Brisbane set to be Australia’s property market leader: Hotspotting’s Terry Ryder” appeared first on the propertyobserver.com.au Blog

Brisbane

April 2021: Four homes to secure in Queensland’s City of Logan from $230,000

The City of Logan is situated in a thriving growth corridor between Brisbane and the Gold Coast, with abundant amenities, good schools and a burgeoning health precinct

Queensland is in the midst of an exciting period of growth and Logan City is well-positioned in the centre of this change.

The City of Logan is situated in a thriving growth corridor between Brisbane and the Gold Coast, with abundant amenities, good schools and a burgeoning health precinct.

More and more home buyers are purchasing their first property in Logan thanks to its fresh and contemporary residential neighbourhoods, new estates and bushland acreage.

The adjacent Griffith University Logan campus, Queensland TAFE and the $145 million Logan Hospital expansion provides the opportunity for Meadowbrook to evolve into a major health and educational hub.

Given its central geographic location in south-east Queensland and available young workforce, Logan is ideally placed for continued growth in the region and provides great opportunity for families and investors.

Urban takes a look at four homes to secure in Logan City from just $230,000.

1. Brookhaven, Bahrs Scrub
Address: 33 Menora Road, Bahrs Scrub QLD 4207
Four-bedroom townhome from $475,000

City of Logan

Brookhaven 33 Menora Road, Bahrs Scrub QLD 4207 

Brookhaven is a new master planned community in Logan City, balancing safety, amenity and liveability amongst picturesque natural surrounds.

Situated just 4.3-kilometres from Beenleigh Town Centre, Brookhaven is connected to Brisbane and the Gold Coast.

Developed by Frasers Property Australia, the homes achieve a five-star green star communities rating and up to 5km of multi-use trails promoting walking, running and bike riding.

2. Aquila Lodge, Eagleby
Address: 10 Bishop Street, Eagleby QLD 4207
One-bedroom townhome from $230,000

City of Logan

Aquila Lodge 10 Bishop Street, Eagleby QLD 4207

Located near train stations, the Pacific Motorway and Logan Motorway, Aquila Lodge offers an 18-townhome development in the City of Logan’s Eagleby.

Each residence features one bedroom, one bathroom and a single-car lock-up garage.

The 42sqm homes include stone benchtops, stainless-steel appliances and air-conditioning to present comfortable living to its residents.

3. Clearwater Junction, Bethania
Address: Clearwater Street, Bethania QLD 4205
Three-bedroom townhomes from $335,000

City of Logan

Clearwater Junction Clearwater Street, Bethania QLD 4205 

Clearwater Junction is an established townhouse complex located in the hidden away suburb of Bethania.

Located in a cul-de-sac street, the peaceful residential development is bordered by farmland and situated within walking distance to the train station and shops.

Three and four-bedroom townhomes are available at the project, with a mixture of designs and layouts, including both single and double storeys.

Amenities include a well-appointed gym, in ground swimming pool, and picnic area.

4. Acacia Waters Estate, Eagleby
Address: Fryar Road, Eagleby QLD 4207
Two-bedroom apartments from $305,000

City of Logan

Acacia Waters Estate Fryar Road, Eagleby QLD 4207 

Surrounded by gardens, walking paths and numerous amenities, Acacia Waters Estate presents nine contemporary designed buildings in Eagleby.

Residents who secure a home in the development will benefit from 24-hour on-site management, undulating lawns and ample visitor parking.

Other amenities include a swimming pool and barbeque pergolas, as well as essential amenities in close proximity, including parks, public transport and shops.

 

Article Source: www.urban.com.au

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Brisbane

Bid to Open Up Student Accommodation to Workers

Student Accommodation

Scape Australia plans to open up its student accommodation to essential workers and interstate travellers as it waits for international students to return to the country.

The group applied for a temporary change of use for its Atria South Brisbane property until the end of February 2023, providing accommodation for non-students in the 88 Ernest Street building.

This will “allow the applicant to effectively manage the impact Covid-19 has had on their Brisbane assets [six buildings in total]” according to the application.

“Prior to Covid-19 [December 2019], building occupancy in Brisbane was at 75 per cent currently the assets have an occupancy rate of 28 per cent as Scape’s primary market is international students,” the report stated.

“The proposed ‘other change’ will allow Scape to use the vacancies in its buildings to offer the Brisbane housing market an alternative to typical renting models [share houses and the like].

“Scape are hoping to host like-minded occupants within the building who are not students.

“Examples include interstate travellers who do not want to sign a six- or 12-month lease elsewhere but need to remain in Brisbane for three-plus months or hospital workers who are assisting in the nearby Mater with the Covid-19 response.”

This is the second time Scape has tried to change the use of the building—that proposal was rejected by the council in August last year due to parking and transport issues.

Overseas arrival numbers remain at record lows, according to the Australian Bureau of Statistics, which recorded a 99.1 per cent drop in visitor arrivals in February compared to the same period last year.

Student Accommodation

▲ Scape have multiple properties in Brisbane and more than 18,000 beds across the globe in development or operation. 

To shape a recovery for the industry, federal education minister Alan Tudge announced a 10-year, whole-of-sector international education.

In 2019 there were 750,000 international students studying in Australia, accounting for a third of university enrolments.

“In 2019, we started the year with around 480,000 continuing international students, while another 150,000 entered Australia to study in the first half of the year, and a further 130,000 in the second half,” Tudge said.

“Closing the borders, of course, had a significant disruption on the international student sector.

“That normal pattern was not possible last year. While some started online, many also deferred their studies, preferring to wait until travel is again possible.”

Despite a lack of international students in 2020, Scape continued to expand its Australian portfolio, purchasing 252 serviced apartments in the Aurora Melbourne Central building for $125 million in November.

The group also lodged plans for four student towers on each corner of an intersection in Kensington and Kingsford near the University of New South Wales.

 

Article Source: theurbandeveloper.com

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Brisbane

The cost of renting in Brisbane reaches record levels, outstrips Melbourne prices

For the first time in years, it now costs more to rent a home in Brisbane than Melbourne, with mass migration and a near two-decade low vacancy rate shooting median asking prices to record heights.

Amid tales of tenant bidding wars and rejected applicants reduced to tears, the latest Domain Rent Report, released Thursday, revealed the average weekly asking price for a house in the Queensland capital soared by almost 8 per cent to an unprecedented $440 per week over the past 12 months – and by 3.5 per cent over the past quarter alone.

The price hike means the average Brisbane tenant is now paying $10 more a week than their Melbourne counterpart for a house, and $25 more a week for a unit after prices for the latter rose by a slightly more modest 3.9 per cent over the year to a record-breaking $400 per week.

Domain senior research analyst Nicola Powell said the report marked a sharp turnaround for the city, with houses, in particular, marking the steepest annual increase in rent prices since 2008 following three strong consecutive quarters of rent gains.

“Melbourne house rents have been higher than Brisbane’s since about 2016 so what we’ve really seen in Brisbane since mid-2020 is an acceleration in asking rents and this really goes against what was happening in the lead up [to the pandemic],” Dr Powell said.

“They had relatively flatlined since 2013.”

Dr Powell said while Queensland had always been a hot destination for interstate migrants, the pandemic and the possibility of remote working had fuelled the trend with the annual number of Australians moving to the state hitting its highest level since 2006.

“Tenants will find less choice, with the pool of available rentals shrinking by one-third compared to last year, pushing Brisbane’s vacancy rate to a multi-year low,” she said.

“House and unit rents held steady or increased in all regions across Greater Brisbane over the March quarter, apart from unit rents in Ipswich sliding a mere $5 a week. Annually, the biggest jump in asking rent was recorded for houses in Brisbane’s north and Moreton Bay North, the steepest annual increase since 2008, up 6.8 per cent and 6.7 per cent annually.”

While rent prices indeed soared across most parts of the city it was the capital’s family-friendly pockets in the middle and even outer rings that shone brightest, with houses in Bald Hills and Everton Park enjoying the biggest annual price rise after surging 10.6 per cent to $520 per week.

Hot on their heels were Kenmore, Brookfield and Moggill, where median asking prices for houses shot up by 8.2 per cent over the same period to an unprecedented $595 per week – a rental price equal only to houses in the inner-city west region.

It’s a rare rental boom that Aurora Realty Brisbane leasing manager Abi Harrington said was reaching eye-watering levels – with their agency currently managing 100,000 tenants actively seeking a home.

“We’ve gone from houses taking three weeks to rent out, to three days and even down to three hours [in the past quarter],” Ms Harrington said.

“You wouldn’t believe the gifts I have received (from desperate tenants) from gin, to flowers to cheesecake and even a bottle of champagne.

“We used to have the policy that a tenant mustn’t apply before they’ve seen the property but now we say apply first if you like the photos … and if you get approved we’ll arrange a private inspection after [because rentals are being snapped up so quickly].”

As for the soaring rents in Everton Park and Bald Hills, Ms Harrington put the increase down to tenants being simply priced out of Brisbane’s more expensive inner pockets, with houses in quiet suburbs boasting a good school catchment the number one lure.

“I’ve just listed a property in Everton Park … and in less than 24 hours I have five inspections booked in … but sometimes we get up to 15 people in the first few hours,” she said.

“This is the height of it and it’s absolute chaos. On average tenants are offering $20 to $30 dollars over the asking price but some people are surpassing that. People from Sydney and Melbourne are cashed up and headed this way because buying a house is far cheaper here and Queensland is the obvious choice as the office doesn’t exist anymore.”

Ms Harrington said soaring interstate migration was a major contributor to rising rent prices, with some southern home hunters willing to fork out $90 per week more in a move that was causing much anxiety among Brisbane residents.

cost of renting in Brisbane

Properties for rent in suburbs like Chapel Hill and Kenmore are sparking bidding wars.

“Locals feel like they’re being pushed out … and I see this getting worse. And it’s not fair on locals living here struggling to meet that price range … and we don’t encourage [bidding wars] because we’re trying to manage expectations,” she said.

Ray White Metro West property manager Stephanie Budrodeen said with rental wars now a common occurrence in hot spots such as Chapel Hill and Kenmore, median prices, in reality, had soared beyond eight per cent to as high as 30, creating a scene more akin to an auction, with the charge being led by Melbourne families particularly desperate to bag a house in a top school catchment.

She said the pandemonium was further fuelled by the “nuts” sales market with some tenants pushed out by owners desperate to sell in a booming market, while others were forced to rent purely because there was nothing to buy.

“Two weeks ago, we just had one property [a two-bedroom unit] left on our rental roll … and that’s never happened before. But the downfall to all of this is owners think their properties are worth more than they are and this is going to make problems for the future when prices are no longer inflated,” Ms Budrodeen said.

“Tenants are in panic mode right now … and in my opinion this a ripple effect from the housing market.”

 

Article Source: www.domain.com.au

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