It’s no secret that Australian real estate has been going gangbusters this year, but CoreLogic’s latest findings really help just how big this boom has been.
Property prices grew another +1.5 per cent in September, pushing the median Australian home price up +20.3 per cent over 12 months. That’s the highest rate of annual growth since June 1989.
This truly is a once in a generation event and a major opportunity for sellers. But, with gains slowly reducing and a rush of stock expected to come to the market, are things about to change?
National property values: September 2021
Monthly change: +1.6%
Monthly change: +1.1%
While the overall sentiment is that the market has been cooling off since the +2.8 per cent monthly peak in March, a +1.5 per cent jump in September is still well above the decade average (+0.4 per cent).
Australia’s median property price is now $674,848, almost exactly $100,000 more than it was at the beginning of January 2021.
Houses in Sydney, Brisbane, Adelaide, Hobart and Canberra all gained at least another +2.0 per cent in September, with Melbourne up +1.1 per cent.
Regional markets had another strong month and on the whole outperformed the capitals. Among the biggest movers were NSW (+2.0 per cent), QLD and Tasmania (+1.7 per cent) and units in WA (+2.4 per cent).
Even though we’re still looking at big monthly numbers in many cities and regions, the bigger picture does show that growth is easing off.
As the CoreLogic report states, “although growth conditions remain positive, it is becoming increasingly clear the housing market moved past its peak rate of growth.”
New spring listings hit the market but total stock is still well down
With lockdowns pushing the start of the spring selling season back, there’s been plenty of anticipation around fresh listings coming to the market—and they’re finally arriving.
Sydney in particular has seen a huge surge of new properties coming online, +23.1 per cent up from August according to SQM Research.
Melbourne listings are up a healthy +9.9 per cent, with plenty more expected to come once restrictions ease further, while Brisbane, Perth and Adelaide have also seen a bump up in their numbers.
Canberra, which entered lockdown later than Sydney and Melbourne, seems further from returning to ‘normal’ again, and the drop in listings reflects that. But Sydney’s path through could foreshadow what’s to come in the other locked-down markets.
Even with new listings coming online, CoreLogic says the total amount of stock on the market is still “extremely low” (-25.5 per cent below the five-year average) and with demand remaining so high, desperate buyers are snapping up whatever they can.
“Nationally, homes are selling in 35 days, up from 29 days in April, and vendor discounting levels remain around record lows at – 2.8 per cent,” Mr Lawless says.
It’s also worth noting that, even with total listings so low, the total number of monthly sales are well beyond the five-year average, suggesting that most of anything that’s making it to the market is being bought up.
With days on market and vendor discounting so low, auction clearance rates back up to their highest levels since March and available stock on the market way below average, all the indicators point to very strong selling conditions as spring moves on.
Affordability issues continue to cool the market
Even though we’re still seeing well-above-average monthly growth, the overall trend since March 2021 has been towards easing gains.
CoreLogic’s research director Tim Lawless believes this has in part been driven by first home buyers being squeezed out of the market thanks to soaring prices and fewer government incentives.
“With housing values rising substantially faster than household incomes, raising a deposit has become more challenging for most cohorts of the market, especially first home buyers,” he says.
He points to ABS lending data, which shows that the number of first home buyer loans fell -20.5 per cent between January and July, suggesting that those buyers may have changed their tactics to ‘rentvest’—seeking an investment property in cheaper markets while renting where they live.
It’s widely forecast by the big banks and pundits alike that growth will continue to slow into 2022 as more buyers are priced out of the market, so it’s unlikely that sellers will be able to gain too much more out of this cycle.
Houses are still outperforming units despite high prices, but that could change
It may seem contradictory to the above, but house prices continue to increase at a more rapid rate than units even though detached housing is becoming less and less accessible to buyers.
In most capital cities, houses have outpaced units this year by double or more.
Thanks to the prevalence of remote working now, the ‘race for space’ mentality is still driving people to seek lifestyle improvements during the pandemic, and that means houses have been in hot demand.
There’s a chance that could change in some of the country’s most expensive markets, though, and houses may cool off while units make up some ground.
As BuyersBuyers co-founder Pete Wargent told OpenAgent, affordability constraints have meant a number of buyers—particularly in markets like Sydney—have had to adjust their new home search.
“My guess is that, the way the median house price has gone in Sydney, there will be a shift towards units,” he said. “Prices are so high now that affordability will start to bite for the detached house market.”
What’s next for the Australian property market?
There’s been a lot of talk about if and when APRA may tighten home loan lending conditions, and that’s now been announced.
From November it will become more difficult for borrowers to be approved for a mortgage, a move that is widely tipped to slow down the already cooling market as buyers may end up with less purchasing power.
CoreLogic also predicts that, once lockdowns have ended and people return to more normal spending habits, the conditions that have helped many save considerable amounts of money during the pandemic may shift and demand for housing could ease.
They also suggest the influx of stock expected as the spring selling season continues to unfold will start to give buyers more choice and dilute some of the frenzied demand we’ve seen, which could take more heat out of the market.
So, in the medium term, there are a number of factors that look set to reduce growth. But for now, with stock low and demand high, interest rates remaining at record lows and pent-up pressure ready to release from lockdowns, it’s very much a seller’s market right now.
Article Source: www.openagent.com.au
The Fernery, Brisbane apartments in Ferny Grove, hit 70% sold
The Fernery comprises of 82 luxury apartments at 47 Conavalla Street, Ferny Grove, with a resort-style rooftop recreational deck for residents
The $140 project, Ferny Grove Central, in Brisbane’s north-west has seen 70% of its apartments sold two months after its construction began.
The Fernery comprises of 82 apartments featuring 1, 2 and 3 bedroom apartments in the low rise project.
Some 85% of the buyers come from surrounding suburbs through Colliers since the April launch.
Some 70% of the sales have been to owner-occupiers. For investors, based on an appraisal by local agents, the yield is likely to be circa 5%.
Apartments prices at The Fernery start from $349,000.
There will be a resort-style rooftop recreational deck with 15-metre pool set among landscaped sub-tropical surrounds.
The Fernery is a joint venture project by Honeycombes Property Group and MaxCap Group.
The Fernery is the residential centrepiece of Ferny Grove Central, the $140 million landmark urban renewal project, which has been almost eight years in the making.
It will transform the northern Brisbane suburb with a new Transit Oriented Development (TOD) which combines apartment living, a major retail centre and an entertainment precinct .
Its construction contract is with builder Broad Construction, a subsidiary of CPB Contractors, part of the ASX-listed CIMIC Group.
Peter Honeycombe is managing director of Honeycombes Property Group, which has over 25 years had more than $1.5 billion in projects that are either completed or under construction.
More than 800 full time jobs are being supported by the development, including about 285 jobs directly tied to the construction project.
Construction of Ferny Grove Central is expected to take 28 months with completion set for late-2023.
The most high-profile example of Honeycombes’ urban redevelopment projects is the award-winning Coorparoo Square, a $252 million urban renewal development completed in 2018.
With property projects at the fore, MaxCap Group has invested more than $10bn across more than 370 loans since inception in 2007.
Article Source: www.urban.com.au
House Prices Still Soaring Despite Lockdowns
Home values are still rising at their fastest pace in more than 30 years despite lockdowns in Australia’s two biggest cities and the foot coming off the pedal over the past six months.
They jumped another 1.5 per cent in September, bringing the total increase for the first nine months of the year to 17.6 per cent, according to Corelogic.
Nationally, home values have soared by 20.3 per cent over the past 12 months to a median of $676,848, which is up $8334 from last month.
The annual growth rate is now tracking at its fastest pace since the year ending June 1989.
But while the market conditions remain positive, the monthly growth rate is continuing to lose steam and ease back from its peak of 2.8 per cent in March.
Corelogic research director Tim Lawless said worsening affordability—with increasingly higher barriers to entry for non-homeowners and fewer government incentives—was slowly putting the brakes on growth rates.
“With housing values rising substantially faster than household incomes, raising a deposit has become more challenging for most cohorts of the market, especially first home buyers,” he said.
Lawless said a prime example was Sydney, where the median house value at just over $1.3 million now means the typical buyer needs around $262,300 for a 20 per cent deposit.
“The slowdown in first home buyers can be seen in the lending data, where the number of owner-occupier first home buyer loans has fallen by -20.5 per cent between January and July,” he said.
“Over the same period, the number of first home buyers taking out an investment housing loan has increased, albeit from a low base, by 45%, suggesting more first home buyers are choosing to ‘rent vest’ as a way of getting their foot in the door.”
September house prices: Corelogic
Corlelogic’s research indicates the monthly change in house values remains positive across all capital cities with Hobart (2.3 per cent) and Canberra (2 per cent) notching up the largest growth, while Darwin (0.1 per cent) and Perth (0.3 per cent) recorded the softest growth.
Generally, house values are still rising faster than unit values with the exception of Hobart and Darwin, where unit values have risen 5.4 percentage points and 4.8 percentage points more than house values, respectively, during the past 12 months.
Across regional Australia, however, unit values rose faster than house values in the September quarter.
“This is probably a reflection of stronger demand for downsizing options and holiday homes in popular coastal markets,” Lawless said.
AMP Capital chief economist Shane Oliver said ultra-low mortgage rates, an ongoing relatively low level of homes for sale along with a resumption of economic and jobs market recovery once lockdowns end, pointed to further home price increases ahead, albeit at a slowing rate.
“A surge in listings once lockdowns end could act as a bit of a dampener on price growth,” he said. “But this looks to be more of an issue in Melbourne where listings have fallen sharply in recent weeks and where economic uncertainty is greater, but less so in Sydney where listings have already been increasing.”
Article Source: www.theurbandeveloper.com
Inside the two-bedroom Silk Lane apartments in Woolloongabba, home of the 2032 Olympics
A relaxed sense of luxury fills every space, with tonal finishes and complimentary textures that create a luxurious hotel ambience
Accompanying the rush of global infrastructure investment set to transform Brisbane in the decade leading up to the Olympics, Silk Lane is among the new residential developments in Brisbane to secure a wave of renewed interest.
Comprising 306 one, two and three-bedroom apartments, Silk Lane delivers a luxury living experience that rises amongst Brisbane’s legendary cricket ground, ‘The Gabba’
Delivered by Sarazin, each residence is designed as an urban sanctuary, set high above the buzz of the surrounding precinct.
Silk One takes centre stage among the legendary Brisbane cricket ground, ‘The Gabba’, and boasts stunning views of the Brisbane River, CBD skyline and beyond.
Urban takes a look at two feature floorplans available to discerning buyers.
1. East No.12
The floorplan East No.12 has two bedrooms, one tucked away off the kitchen and dining area, with the master positioned at the front of the apartment off the living space.
That curved bedroom, with its own ensuite, will have full floor-to-ceiling glass windows with views across Brisbane.
The apartment, designed by Nettleton Tribe Architects, features generous living spaces, a balcony, built-in robes, laundry room and study space.
2. West No.8
The larger two-bedroom floorplan is West No.8, which comes with two bedrooms, two bathrooms and a multi-purpose room.
West No.8 is a more rectangular apartment and features a unique cube style crown and a lighter colour scheme.
“Living here is living Brisbane,” developer Sarazin say. It’s a rare and inspirational blend of serenity and exhilaration.
City and Gabba views are on offer from the balcony or the communal rooftop areas.
Article Source: www.urban.com.au
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