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Opinion

ANZ executive warns surging house prices could spark interest rate rise

house prices

Australia’s house prices continue to surge, despite the COVID-19, and ANZ’s top executive has issued a chilling warning about what it means for you.

The supply and demand shortage that has driven house prices through the roof is unlikely to end any time soon and could easily spark an interest rate hike, one of Australia’s big four bank executives says.

ANZ chief executive Shayne Elliott says the current low interest rate levels have put home ownership front and centre in almost everyone’s mind.

That in turn has caused a major supply issue and sparked the surge in property prices across Australia, which has mainly been the only inflation within the economy, he says.

“It’s just asset price inflation,” Mr Elliott told 3AW’s Neil Mitchell on Thursday.

“There’s a lot of money sloshing around, which was partly to do with COVID, partly to do with other things.

“All that money has to find a home and people are pouring it into assets. And they’re pouring it into housing and also into equity.

“The Reserve Bank would, I imagine, be forced to act at some point. I mean, they’ve sort of said they’re not intending to do that for a couple of years but things change.”

The Reserve Bank met on Tuesday for its regular monthly meeting and left interest rates unchanged at a record low 0.1 per cent.

The RBA said interest rates would remain steady while inflation stayed below the target level of 2 to 3 per cent.

On the same day the RBA met, REA released its new Price Index Report showing values for houses along the eastern seaboard had risen by more than five per cent on average over the past 12 months, with the pandemic sweeping the nation from March last year.

The biggest gains were in Sydney where house prices jumped 6.4 per cent although apartment prices lagged behind at 0.1 per cent, according to the REA Price Index Report.

Brisbane’s house prices jumped 5.8 per cent while Victoria’s increase was 4.6 per cent.

Overall, house prices have increased 6.9 per cent on average over the past 12 months across the country, more than triple that of apartment values, which increased 2.1 per cent.

Australia’s inflation for the December quarter was 0.9 per cent, the RBA says.

REA’s director of economic research Cameron Kusher said rising consumer confidence was built on interstate borders reopening and would likely further improve as the COVID-19 vaccine rolled out.

“Price growth in capital cities has been stronger than in regional markets over the past two months so it will be interesting to see if this trend continues as vaccines roll out in Australia and we head towards a new COVID-normal,” he said.

Mr Elliott said homeowners may be grinning with the surge in house prices but there was a downside to it.

“If you’re an owner it probably feels pretty healthy. If you’re trying to get in, it probably doesn’t,” he said.

“I think extreme moves either up or down are never probably very good if they’re sustained for a period of time … because you start getting real social and political problems as a result.”

Besides house prices being a talking point during the pandemic, so has been the move away from cash, Mr Elliott said.

“Cash withdrawals fell 22 per cent over the year … but then contactless, so using your … tap cards, they are up 25 per cent,” he said.

 

Article Source: www.news.com.au

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Brisbane

Travel bans fuel Brisbane’s $30 million auction splurge

Brisbane

Expats and upgraders are splashing major cash on prestige properties across Brisbane with more than $30 million in real estate transacted from 38 auctions on Saturday.

The auction clearance rate was 81 per cent, compared with just 22 per cent this time last year.

Off the back of continued travel bans, property punters say buyers are continuing to pour millions into homes instead of holidays, and stranded Aussies are fuelling the prestige market from afar for fear if they don’t buy soon, they’ll miss out when borders open.

It’s a trend McGrath Estate Agents Cleveland agent Pamela Neilson said had spurred more than a handful of top sales in her area in the past few months, and one that helped her clock the city’s highest recorded auction on Saturday, after an upgrader forked out $4.35 million for a Raby Bay mansion.

 Brisbane

11 Grenoble Place, Raby Bay QLD 4163

“I’m seeing more transactions now between $2 million and $3 million (than I have in a long time). We’re finding this market is just continuing to move and I can’t see it quietening down,” Ms Neilson said.

“The biggest thing is expats at the moment and I have clients from London to Chicago, all wanting to come home but they want to get into the market now.

“I sold two [sight unseen] to expats just last month.”

 Brisbane

Marina views from 11 Grenoble Place, Raby Bay.

Although it was a local buyer who scored the winning bid on the sprawling Ray Bay home at 11 Grenoble Place, Ms Neilson said the incredible result was indicative of the sheer appetite for luxury homes in the Queensland capital, and also in Raby Bay, where high-end sales had surged in the past six months.

“We had 52 groups through the property and five offers prior to the auction. I think the massive land size of 2479 square metres [fuelled the interest] but also the big pontoon, the glorious views and the tennis court,” Ms Neilson said.

“It all needs updating, but it’s just so private, and after a renovation this property could be worth between $7 million and $8 million.

“The Raby bay area is also a lot stronger [than it has been in years]. The area is getting more attention now – people are finally waking up to it and the people trying to move in have probably missed out.”

Ms Neilson said it was only back in August the suburb price record was smashed with the $8.5 million sale of 1990s Aussie pop star Daniel Jones, of Savage Garden.

In the inner city, an old cottage on a tiny parcel of land clocked an incredible $1.55 million under the hammer on Saturday, after six registered bidders battled it out for a minuscule piece of dirt in “Brisbane’s best suburb”.

 Brisbane

210 Arthur Street, Teneriffe QLD 4005

The green and yellow four-bedroom abode, at 210 Arthurs Street, Teneriffe, occupies just a 256-square-metre block but with houses frequently clocking more than $2 million in the chic neighbourhood, selling agent Brett Greensill, of McGrath New Farm, said the home was a little piece of gold.

“It´s a small slice of land but, of course, Teneriffe is the most expensive suburb in Brisbane so to get a little slice of the best suburb [is still fantastic],” Mr Greensill said.

“We had six registered bidders, and there was an excellent crowd. The lady who turned out to be the underbidder started off with a cheeky bid of $600,000 but then the next bid was about $1.1 million.

“The reserve was $1.5 million, so we sold it for just over, and five of the six bidders were local.

“I actually sold this house in 2013 for $815,000 when it was first renovated. Here we are not even 10 years later and it has almost doubled. And, in the past six months (alone) this house gained probably 10 per cent (in value).”

Mr Greensill said the sale was another top result in a booming market where houses in particular were streaking ahead of apartments amid insatiable buyer appetite.

“Brisbane has always had headwinds of varying degrees but since Christmas we’ve had tailwinds (in the housing market).

“We have also had lots of conversations with expats recently.”

Other high-end sales across the city included one of Highgate Hill’s original homesteads at 77 Hampstead Road, which sold for $2.6 million through Luke Croft, of Ray White South Brisbane.

Brisbane

UNDER CONTRACT 77 Hampstead Road Highgate Hill QLD 4101

Built about 1890, the seven-bedroom, five-bathroom home mixed modern chic with heritage touches after an incredible architecturally renovation.

Under the $1 million mark selling agent Bevin Powell, of Ray White Annerley, set an office record for registered bidders after 30 hungry home-hunters battled it out for a four-bedroom brick home at 3 Appleyard Crescent, Coopers Plains, which sold for $816,000.

“This was an amazing auction, the property market is still hot right now but having said that, I’m not sure we’ll have another auction like this one for a while. The winning bidder purchased the property for their parents,” Mr Powell said.

 

Ray White Queensland chief auctioneer Mitch Peereboom said across their Brisbane agencies top results were fetched alongside soaring clearance rates with the high-end sector swelling.

“The marketplace is particularly strong in the $800,000 to $1.5 million range. We know buyers are selling and then have been looking to upgrade and that bracket is performing excellently,” Mr Peereboom said.

 

Article Source: www.domain.com.au

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Opinion

Property Industry Expects Interest Rate Rise

Property industry confidence levels are near record highs but there are rumblings that interest rates could to increase soon.

The ANZ/Property Council industry survey for the March quarter found confidence levels has improved drastically since the pandemic started, led by the residential sector.

The survey canvassed the views of more than 830 respondents—including, owners, developers, agents, managers, consultants and government—across all major industry sectors and regions.

The results revealed respondents also believe there will be an interest rate increase during the next 12 months.

This comes as the Reserve Bank of Australia closely watches the housing market as “cyclically low-interest rates and rising asset prices create a risk of excessive borrowing”.

According to the RBA financial stability review, this could lead to financial instability particularly if lending standards are weakened, which could expose lenders to large losses.

Interest rate changes

Property Industry

^Source: RBA 

For the meantime, the Reserve Bank decided to hold the official cash rate at 0.1 per cent for the fifth time in a row.

Despite expecting an interest rate rise, survey respondents were confident about work expectations, national growth and house prices in the next year.

Property Council of Australia chief executive Ken Morrison said the expectations for house prices were at the highest level in the survey’s 10-year history.

“When the property industry is confident it is exceptional news for the entire national economy because it employs so many people—more than 1.4-million Australians,” Morrison said.

“While the economy still faces significant challenges, the property industry is clearly buoyed by the speed of our turnaround and the strong demand they are seeing, particularly in the residential and industrial sectors.”

ANZ senior economist Felicity Emmett said that for now the combination of record low mortgage interest rates and targeted stimulus was clearly supporting the housing sector.

“Property sentiment has improved again, reflecting stellar economic performance, a large pipeline of work for the coming year and a strong outlook for property prices,” Emmett said

The survey also revealed an easing of concerns about the office sector as more CBD workers return to their work places.

 

Article Source: theurbandeveloper.com

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Brisbane

Property confidence stages remarkable comeback

property

The latest results from the ANZ/Property Council Survey reveal surging confidence levels in Queensland’s property sector, despite the slower than anticipated return of workers to major business precincts.

Property industry sentiment in Queensland bounced from 124 points in the December 2020 quarter, to 144 index points in the March 2021 quarter. The result shows that industry confidence has nearly tripled since the height of the COVID pandemic, when a low of 58 index points was recorded during the March 2020 quarter. A score of 100 is considered neutral.

Property Council Queensland Executive Director, Chris Mountford, said the results were nothing short of phenomenal, however, it was critical that the positivity was not taken for granted.

“The results highlight a remarkable recovery for Queensland’s property sector, which proved resilient throughout the challenges of last year and is now spearheading the State’s economic recovery,” said Mr Mountford.

“The industry has recorded strong results on most metrics of success, from crane counts to property clearance rates, to our own quarterly confidence surveys.

“However, we do need to maintain some degree of caution as these positive results were recorded prior to Brisbane’s most recent lockdown, and while the benefits of Government stimulus programs continue to be felt.

“It is well documented that these lockdowns cost our economy millions and impact on the confidence of employees to return to their places of work.

“Office occupancy within Brisbane CBD has stagnated at circa 63 per cent, showing the road to recovery for our city centres has clearly not been as smooth as in other property sectors.

“With the end of JobKeeper and the ever-present spectre of another lockdown, there is clearly a need to support our CBDs and the many businesses that rely on the daily visitation of workers, students and tourists to make ends meet.

“Over the coming months, the Property Council will be working with its members, Brisbane City Council and the Queensland Government, to implement a plan to support our city centre and ensure it continues to drive Queensland’s economy,” concluded Mr Mountford.

 

Article Source: www.miragenews.com

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